As said from Citizens of Suburbia:

Lets see the risk v reward. He joins, does well and is targetted by an elite side.

What is he going to be worth? £100m?

So you take a gamble on a young talent, he reaches his peak and moves for £100m:

1. Southamption net 75% of his peak value (£50m + £25m sell on)

2. Everton Net 25% (£100m minus 25% minus £50m outlay)

The bulk on the risk is on Everton, however. If he fails, its £50m down the drain. Saints have banked their £50m.

If he succeeds and is sold for £100m, Everton's payoff is £25m for a £50m risk.

For Everton to achieve parity with Southampton on returns (a fair ask, since he is so young with so much development still to do) his price has to be £200m (both teams earn £100m each). Even if he is going to be worth that, how many elite teams will have PSR headroom to pay that? Liverpool, City & Real at best?

This is the type of poor risk v reward approach we took before TFG.

If there was no sell on *maybe* Everton take the plunge at £50m.

Otherwise we would be crazy to take this gamble.

Our scouting is hopefully strong and robust enough to get an alternative target at a much better risk v reward. Strong scouting enables this.

This is no criticsm of Saints, btw. They can set any price they like and stick to their guns. We did so on Branthwaite and the risk v reward assessment for teams looking at buying him would have been the same. As the selling club, we wouldn't care when considering any offers for Jarrad. Same goes for Saints.

Unlike the Sky 6 cry babies, we can respect the selling club when they stick to their guns on an asking price.