it all comes down to whether the swing states have the fraud under control
michigan and pennsylvania probably doesn’t. trump easily wins a theoretical no-fraud election Previous Message "Democrats had built a 615,000 lead before the Red Charge, and now lead in total votes in Florida only by 242,102. While the pace of Republican voting is breathtaking—at one point they were adding 6,000 votes per hour—they are now on a pace to be well ahead of 2016, when Hillary Clinton entered election day with an 88,000 lead in the Sunshine State." "While we are talking African-American support, take a look at Virginia, which is not on anyone’s radar. Currently, the black turnout is at 13% there. (Keep in mind that up to 15% of that number will be Trump voters). For Democrats to feel safe, it needs to be closer to 18-19%. This tracks well with the New York Times story about black voting in Philadelphia, where Trump was running nine points ahead of his 2016 pace and Joe Biden was 10 points behind Hillary Clinton"
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Some polling analyses from a Pub polling guy. Kind of interesting - Roustabout October 29, 2020, 10:10 am
- For the BUT2016!! guys - Fanin November 2, 2020, 11:39 am
- Megan McArdle on why she held her nose and voted for Biden but is worried - Potomac November 2, 2020, 8:13 am
- 16% first time voters means a Biden landslide!!! - Lex October 30, 2020, 1:59 pm
- Lol* - Fanin October 30, 2020, 2:26 pm
- it all comes down to whether the swing states have the fraud under control - djtexillini October 29, 2020, 6:02 pm
- Trump will win Florida. - Fanin October 29, 2020, 2:56 pm
- Both campaigns are shifting to Minnesota. - Tactical October 29, 2020, 1:01 pm
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