I've pretty much lost confidence in the polls and don't really follow them any more. There's just too much fluctuation ... even on a daily basis ... for them to be considered reliable. The polls in Iowa are especially meaningless given the chaotic way that caucuses work. I must admit that I think Hillary is running a terrible campaign in Iowa, and she could indeed lose there. She needs to start getting some better advice from her campaign staff, cuz the advice she's getting now sucks big time.