on November 26, 2015, 8:29 am
Right now, he has 25 to 30 percent of the vote in polls among the roughly 25 percent of Americans who identify as Republican. (That’s something like 6 to 8 percent of the electorate overall, or about the same share of people who think the Apollo moon landings were faked.)
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dear-media-stop-freaking-out-about-donald-trumps-polls/
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