The People's Forum: How does xG work ? Harry Kane's xG in the first half was 0.2

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How does xG work ? Harry Kane's xG in the first half was 0.2

Posted by Paulo*

on April 15, 2026, 9:07 pm, in reply to "Best match I’ve seen all season n/t"

And yet I suspect everyone would have backed him to finish the chance he had for the goal

Is that chance 0.2 because the likes of Barlow and Varadi would have missed it ?

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Based on histroical data, the chance he had has been scored 20% of the time. nt. - Rainhill Runaway April 15, 2026, 9:22 pm
- What's the reference group though ? - Paulo* April 15, 2026, 9:51 pm
  - At 20%... - Cr April 15, 2026, 9:54 pm
  - I think it's the actual chances from history, not other players who might have had this chance. nt. - Rainhill Runaway April 15, 2026, 9:52 pm

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