Spending is higher than expected, so debt levels might be an extra burden.
Increase in NI contributions will hit some companies quite hard, especially those with large/well paid workforces, so service industry could struggle (pubs & casual dining, supermarkets) unless they ramp their prices…..but does the consumer just buy less if they do?
Reduction of 50% of the benefit from AIM shares will dissuade companies floating their business, not great for the City.
Removal of non-Dom status raises lots of cash, but only if we assume those who are non-Dom don’t get a better deal elsewhere & move overseas?
Extra tax on private jets is just to score a point on Sunak
VAT on private school fees is meant to level education up, but now needs extra spend on education if people move their kids?
Overall it’s a redistribution (notionally) from corporates to the lower levels of employees….but that’s only if spending patterns & levels stay as is, which is rarely the case.
The big surprise to me was that they didn’t hit Gambling given the focus on Gambling Aware & the fact that Smoking & soft drinks (I think?) were hit again. Those 3 + alcohol seem like the biggest self inflicted pressures on the NHS?
Overall it wasn’t as bad/harsh/painful as it could be but didn’t do enough to promote growth from the top down?
However, like everything the devil is in the detail & a one-handed economist doesn’t exist, so we will need to see how some things pan out.
was probably higher spending than most expected, but still not enough to really fix anything. Unless you believe just creating money is an option (which it might be) then taxes needed to be raised, but the one they picked will defiantly hurt small/all businesses.
Was pleased they relaxed borrowing rules to allow for infrastructure spending.
If the NI changes don't hurt wages and employment too much it was a good budget.......but that is a big if!
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