on October 29, 2024, 5:31 pm, in reply to "With a week to go, Allan Lichtman is sticking by the prediction his "Keys to the White House""
More than 16% of Pennsylvania's GOP primary electorate voted for Haley
Haley got 405,472 (17.5%) of the vote in texas. I dont expect the dems to take Texas, but they're certainly making inroads there. Allred is running a great campaign and latest polling suggests he's within 2-4% of Cruz. Certainly close enough to have Cruz panicking and begging for money on TV every night.
Not all of those that voted for Haley will vote dem, but i imagine a decent number will be trying to save their party and just loathe Trump.
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model has come up with. Harris wins.
I find this very interesting. My gut, the bookies' odds and the polls (OK many *just* giving Harris the edge but well within the margin of error) are telling me Trump will win but this guy's system gets it right. Nearly every time.
What isn't surprising is the outpouring of hatred and threats to his family from Trump supporters simply for stating the outcome of his model. This is the reason why this madman and his even more unhinged base need to be stopped.
Like Bannon said, Trump is a moderate within their movement. Just let that sink in.
They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time, it works every time.
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