The People's Forum: He’s a grifter (Lichtman). I think Harris wins but it really is a toss up.

Lichtman is basically as genuine as his hair. Predicting US elections close to those elections has been very easy until Trump, with the exception of 2016 (possibly) and 2000 (which let’s be honest was eventually awarded to the loser). His model is data mined.

Harris is slightly ahead in most of the places that matter. Winning by a single vote is enough. So I think she wins. But it comes down to things like how many non-college educated men turn up in PA minus how many women with Trump-voting spouses secretly vote for Harris and so on. Not easy to predict. Might well be a big electoral college win for either.

I can’t wait for it to be over.

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model has come up with. Harris wins.

I find this very interesting. My gut, the bookies' odds and the polls (OK many *just* giving Harris the edge but well within the margin of error) are telling me Trump will win but this guy's system gets it right. Nearly every time.

What isn't surprising is the outpouring of hatred and threats to his family from Trump supporters simply for stating the outcome of his model. This is the reason why this madman and his even more unhinged base need to be stopped.

Like Bannon said, Trump is a moderate within their movement. Just let that sink in.