.....and as you say no mug.
He’s also never denied there was a big problem in the spring, and is a big supporter of vaccines generally.
Myself I think you need to primarily look at excess deaths and hospitalisation rates, but I appreciate that without tracking cases you can potentially get caught out acting too late. Btw I think UK back into excess deaths now. Sweden just crept back into them last week I believe after months of being below. As of mid November a lot less excess deaths than Covid deaths. The autumn wave does exist but maybe a lot less impactful than spring in some places....at least so far.
Science doesnt agree with itself
So the guy you link who has many qualifications on it (more than anyone here) thinks its all a bit of an over reaction and we already have heard immunity. And yet, many others with experience and qualifications would disagree.
So who do you believe, or at least who do you trust has it right, Expert 1 or Expert 2.
What is for sure though, magna carta isnt going to allow shops to open, G5 masts arent causing covid, its not a lie or a government conspiracy, etc
How best to move forward...
Personally I'd keep schools open, limit businesses, and prop up as much of the economy as required. If that means borrowing more, so be it. I think the government have reacted slowly at times, and clearly lining their own or relatives pockets is a joke, and they should be postponing brexit at all costs right now, because frankly, who ####ing gives a shit about that nonsnese right now. But I dont think there is an obvious magic bullet path thats being ignored to solving the covid situation.
I dont feel sorry for the government, but I also dont envy the choice.
Expert 1 tells you, picking his path will result in X number of deaths but will ultimately be the right path, and that expert 2s path will be more costly in deaths etc
Expert 2 tells you, picking his path will result in Y number of deaths but will ultimately be the right path, and that expert 1s path will be more costly in deaths etc
And thats not even accounting for experts 3,4,5 and Trevor from Hartlepool who is our caller on line 3