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*immediately puts money on an Everton win* (nt)
DUP will vote against, so he's already in a hole. LD won't back it. He'll get some Labour, but likely not enough.
Only way I can see it passing is with a confirmatory referendum amendment being added. But then some who would have voted for it would vote against...it gets messy.
But trying to predict anything in the last three years has been nigh on impossible, so I wouldn't be surprised at any result on Saturday. Same as the Everton game, really