The People's Forum
[ Post a Response | The People's Forum ]
Re: Isn't that more a consequence of
If we crash out with no deal and donít pay divorce settlement etc the EU have already said when we come for the trade deal the first thing on the agenda will be divorce settlement and Irish back stop! So, I donít see any a trade deal coming anytime soon after no-deal. Can businesses survive for years in these conditions?
no deal and no implementation period? The problem you highlight with the milk exists until there is a trade deal, no matter happens with the border. What a mess!
Since the ceasefire and peace agreement, crossborder trade has flourised on both sides. As I understand it, 30% of NI's milk is sold in the Republic to cheese / butter processors. Once the no deal is official, then the Republic under the direction of the EU will stop purchasing NI milk as it will attract a tariff that will almost certainly double the price which leaves NI with a milk surplus.
That is just one example, no doubt that are plenty more businesses that have established a high volumn of cross border trade over the years of peace. This entire mess could well boil down to which side is most willing to suppliment the loss of income attached to brexit ...... is Boris willing to throw millions into NI in order to avoid disaster ? same applies to the EU.
All of this is nothing compared to the possibility of a return to 'the troubles' as they were called. Whilst the majority certainly dont want that, there is always a minority on both sides that will happily start rising up and challenging authority.