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    This seasons chances

    Posted by deeuu on 1/2/2023, 12:23:23

    Promotion if realistic < 5%

    Relegation probably < 3%

    Therefore wherever we finish which is likely top 10, I’d say we’ve had another good season.

      Re: This seasons chances

      Posted by bbb on 1/2/2023, 13:00:05, in reply to "This seasons chances"

      Apart from the villa lad I thought the transfer window was a bit disappointing but nothing Mr.Edwards can't work round.
      If we make the play offs it will be a bigger achievement than last season.

        Re: This seasons chances

        Posted by deeuu on 1/2/2023, 13:23:31, in reply to "Re: This seasons chances"

        You maybe forgetting Drameh, who based on Cardiff fans disappointment at him not going back to them and the 60 minute cameo last night, looks a good asset.

          Re: This seasons chances

          Posted by bbb on 1/2/2023, 13:35:44, in reply to "Re: This seasons chances"

          I had actually, good shout.
          A good mate of mine watches Leeds home and away. He genuinely thinks Drameh should be in their first team.

      Re: This seasons chances

      Posted by Nick NLPBH on 1/2/2023, 12:58:26, in reply to "This seasons chances"

      Sky bet have us at 8/1
      So an 11% chance basically

      (we are now shorter odds than the scum)

      However there are still 4 teams ahead of us in the odds (in addition to the 2 odds on favourites)



        Re: This seasons chances

        Posted by Slaphead Kal on 1/2/2023, 12:48:37, in reply to "This seasons chances"

        Less than 5% chance of getting promoted. That's far too low. More like 99%.

          Re: This seasons chances

          Posted by Andy Cappucino on 1/2/2023, 12:44:22, in reply to "This seasons chances"

          We're 4th, we've had injuries to key players, manager walked out half way through the season, good is some understatement

            Re: This seasons chances

            Posted by Sandgrounder on 1/2/2023, 12:33:33, in reply to "This seasons chances"

            538 website puts our promotion chances at 15%, play offs at 45%

              Re: This seasons chances

              Posted by deeuu on 1/2/2023, 12:38:36, in reply to "Re: This seasons chances"

              Cheers, had forgotten all about that site.

              In fairness, I did say realistic.

              When you think back over the years, as a Luton fan, much as you want and expect to win, deep down there is always that little voice that says don’t take things for granted.

              Think the two playoff finals, or Braintree at home.

              Re: This seasons chances

              Posted by HH on 1/2/2023, 12:33:04, in reply to "This seasons chances"

              15% and <1% according to fivethirtyeight

              https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/championship/

                Re: This seasons chances

                Posted by Ltfc39 on 1/2/2023, 12:24:35, in reply to "This seasons chances"

                We’re 4th in the table with a game in hand.

                Less than 5%… come on!

                  Re: This seasons chances

                  Posted by I think he on 1/2/2023, 12:28:48, in reply to "Re: This seasons chances"

                  Means promotion not top 6.

                  5% seems about right. ( thought it would be less )

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