I'm probably closer to the ""luck"" side of the argument. A few months ago I was watching a series of football matches with friends, and we decided to make some casual predictions. The funniest part was that the people who spent hours studying statistics performed worse than the guy who made his picks in five minutes. Obviously that doesn't happen all the time, but it reminded me that surprises are part of the appeal. While looking into different betting formats afterward, I found some useful explanations on betgrouse bonus. Since then I've mostly treated betting and casino games as entertainment. Winning is nice, but the unexpected twists are usually what make the experience memorable.