I think Ian is under-rating the effect of Indomitable (which wasn't intended to be there) and even the RAF fighters: the main value of even a small amount of air cover is not to down significant numbers of the attackers but to disrupt their carefully orchestrated attacks, There's some query in my mind that the RAF (etc.) pilots would have been aware of this or tactically astute enough to gain maximum benefit, but at least some disruption would have occurred. The FAA was well trained in this in the Mediterranean, yes even with Fulmars. These were proven capable of breaking up the attacks by dedicated SM 79 crews. There seems no reason to doubt their ability to do the same to unescorted Japanese bombers. Had they been there.
As for the Japanese ability to sink all three capital ships, in the face of fighter opposition, that seems doubtful. More likely (to me) they would have diverted most of their attention to the carrier and at least one of the others could have escaped - perhaps two without the lucky hit on PoW. Still a major defeat.
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I can't remember, but did the Japanese send in A6M Zeros with the Nells and Bettys or just the Nells and Bettys alone?
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I disagree that the outcome would have significantly changed had a carrier been sent with Force Z. Given the small number of fighters embarked, and their vintage, the carrier may well have been sunk too. The best the FAA could muster at this time was a squadron (9 aircraft) of Sea Hurricanes and a squadron of Fulmars (9 aircraft) on Indomitable. The Sea Hurricanes would doubtless have given a good account of themselves, as they did during the Pedestal convoy, but with only one carrier, any damage that limited flying operations would have likely lead to the loss of the ship. Ark Royal was equipped only with Fulmars as fighters - two squadrons of 9 aircraft each - an aircraft described by one Indomitable pilot as "7 tons of uselessness". There was no Martlet (Wildcat) squadron embarked on an RN carrier until Illustrious and Formidable returned to service in 1942, and onl
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