So, if I have this straight, if we go afer their merchant fleet they will go nuclear, but if we fire a long range missile from a B-1, or they hit one of our mines, that will bring them to the negotiating table, not reach for the nuclear trigger. Sounds about as good to me as us all blowing ourselves up for computer chips, or handing Taiwan into slavery to avoid it. It's all the same to me. I am a spectator, and so far, it is all quite a spectacle.
The political unrest in China is suppressed with a bullet or gulag. Itís a very persuasive method especially when you send troops and secret police from a region that hates another..
Sorry but Russia is the largest oil producer in the world and they are building at least one pipeline across Siberia and another to the sea for Chinese consumption. As you stated before we go after the Chinese merchant fleet China will go nuclear and we will get world condemnation. We can blow up Iran, Chinaís largest supplier but then Iran is working hard to go nuclear itself to make sure this doesnít happen. There next Achilles heal is food and that is why China eyes Korea and the rest of S/E Asia. Their food contracts extend as far away as South America, Russia ( to a smaller degree) the US and Australia. Attack their food sources again world condemnation and they go nuclear.
And no China destabilizing the Pacific will have Russian help in one form or another. Sink or cripple the US Fleet plays well into Russian plans for Western Europe, Baltic Nations, the Ukraine and the Middle East.
Also do so more research on those jet engines.The Russians have finally given up on the Chinese stealing technology and reverse engineering. For hard currency the Russians just sell it.
China has Russia and we have who? The Japanese for certain and maybe the ROKs if they donít open fire on the Japanese first. Australiaís and Brits commitment negligible and Vietnam a very very remote possibility. And who else the UN, laughable and the rest of Western Europe even more laughable.
You are correct China is not 10 feet tall. She is so financially leveraged by Western banks itís not funny. And no they donít own the majority of American debt. The American taxpayer and Japan does. China is too big to fail for they will take the world economic system with it. We will recover unfortunately they wonít and another possibility of them using a military option or going nuclear.
You donít have to take Taiwan by coming across the beach. China will want their enemies to ďblinkĒ either economically or militarily and that is how they get what they want. Those island bases they have been building mean nothing to them. They canít resupply them and they will be quickly negated but they got the world to blink.
Negating Japan is the real target not Taiwan and everybody else out there falls like dominoes. Taiwan is the excuse but not ultimate objective. Sink or badly maul a CVBG and watch how fast everyone comes to the negotiating table. Take a lesson from history. Germany had a WW1 army with a handful of under armed mechanized divisions yet conquered all of Western Europe in weeks by making its enemies believe in their defeat and the might of German arms. Same with China.
In order to defeat this we have to develop ways to attack and hurt them without being there. And that alone will bring the Chinese to the table. I can think of a number of ways from offensive mining to converting B-1s into cruise missile platforms, to missile decoys to submarine traps, but that is not what we are doing. We just keep thinking of legacy platforms and how many toys we can add to them and refighting the Pacific war but this time a highly vulnerable Japan is on our side.
Yup we can all live well until other nations tell us what they expect from us.
China has problems/vulnerabilities too. You might go investigate and read about them. They are not ten feet tall. They are 60% dependant on Middle East oil, which comes to them by tanker across seas over which they have no control. Sure, the immediate region ofF their coast is well protected by land based missiles, diesel subs, and missile craft flotillas. But, past the First Island Chain, and out in the Indian Ocean, we still hold sway. They can not (yet) build advanced jet engines of the type which we have only low numbers of. So, their numbers are even lower. They have a lot of internal political unrest...potential breakaway regions which they devote energy to trying to control. They are surrounded by hostile neighbors (India in particular.) They have few friends, and their only ally is North Korea. We have friendly relations with much of the region.
So, they fight alone, while we can martial help. And so on. Go read up on China and its problems. "Know your enemy." It is far from a one-sided affair.
Which is actually why it is so dangerous. Nations go to war when they figure they can win. At this point, both sides see exploitable vulnerabilities with the other, and an outcome that is far from fixed. Deterrence is what is needed most. One side or the other needs to feel that a war is unwinnable. So, both sides spar, hoping to demonstrate exactly that. China builds mighty missiles. We demonstrate high tech superiority. And on and on. If it can be made perfectly clear to China that they face overwhelming opposition--not just from the US, but from the bulk of the world...they will have to fight all of us to take away Taiwanese freedom--then China will rumble about Taiwan forever, but not actually act. If they perceive they face a lone enemy against favorable odds, you will see them exercise their military options.
I am along for the ride, and have no illusions about my species. So, it will not surprise me to wake up and read we are at war. Until then, deterrence is working. Enjoy life now. That, you have control over. The future, you don't.
So what will we fight with ? Numbers so low with the F 35 flying pig. Problems with no replacement engines,short range low cannon rounds to fight with. The Chinese could not have put us in a worst situation if they had been in charge themselves.
As of this moment, the current standard is:
1 F/A-18F squadron
3 F/A-18E squadrons
1 EA-18G squadron
1 E-2D squadron
1 MH-60S squadron
1 MH-60 R squadron
1 C-2 detachment
This will very shortly (weeks/a month or so) change to having F-35C squadron (or squadrons) replace F/A-18E squadron (or squadrons) and a CMV-22 detatchment replace the C-2. Probably only one fighter squadron will swap out to start, since F-35 numbers are still low. Don't know what the "ultimate" ratio is, but I suspect 1 F-18F and one F-18E and 2 F-35C squadrons is desired. USS Carl Vinson has already deployed with one F-35C squadron aboard in place of one E squadron. It is currently the only carrier to do so.
In a short time, the F/A-18 E and F squadrons will get Block III machines, with conformal external fuel tanks extending their range.
A bit further down the road, we will add MQ-25 Stingrays.
I thought F-18E/F replaced them? Anyway to learn what are the compositions of the active air wings?