Trump is a loud mouthed, locker room talking, egotist. We can't get around that issue. He loves to hear himself talk and he incites a certain anger in his followers.
However, when compared to a senile career politician whose only real claim to fame is riding Obama's coat tails, I'll bet Trump wins again.
Why? Because for all of the darts thrown at him, some of which have been proven to be nothing more than "politics as usual, several things are going to put him in the chair again.
While 120,000 died from COVID, ten times more survived it.
While the market blew up in February and March, it has rebounded. That's largely due to the perception of what he did the first three years. It will cause guys like me, despite not liking him as a person, to cast a vote for him. In short, I got mine, you get yours. ( I know that's selfish)
I think the majority of people hate seeing the rioting and looting and destruction of public property. People see democrats as being too afraid to address this. This will help Trump in many states who aren't so afraid of terror groups.
Military families love the guy. He has rebuilt the military and people who have sons and daughters, sisters and brothers in the service, are happy about that. I talk to many of them daily.
What I genuinely worry about is the TDS that people so wrongly make fun of. It's a real mindset and I don't know how some of the far left followers will handle anther 4 years. I truly fear there will be an assassination attempt or worse if he's re-elected. Bloodshed is a possibility.