Posted by JAC on 5/29/2009, 8:17 am

A lot of genesis enablers setting up here. I am not saying something will develop here; it just looks like an area that may have a chance. 1) Theta-e air is concentrating. 2) QuikSCAT is showing surface winds converging around the Keys. Also a cold front is setup a little north of this. 3) Shear is dropping fast with good UL divergence. 4) UL winds close by can support a pole-ward outflow channel. 5) SST's are warm enough. 6) Air is very unstable with CAPE ranging from 2000 to 3000, LI at -3 to -6, and 700mb temps at 8 to 10C. 7) Sombrero Key is reporting a steady pressure of 29.95" 8) Loop-Current is abnormally hot.