Posted by Mike Doran on 5/28/2009, 6:41 pm, in reply to "Core-temp really straightened up quickly"

23-May-2009 1010.23 1010.60 -14.54 -8.38 0.85 24-May-2009 1010.18 1010.15 -11.47 -9.16 0.57 25-May-2009 1011.14 1010.75 -8.71 -9.50 0.25 26-May-2009 1012.15 1010.90 -2.13 -9.47 -0.01 27-May-2009 1012.61 1011.05 0.25 -9.16 -0.14 28-May-2009 1013.92 1010.55 14.11 -7.85 -0.05 As I mentioned in the severe weather thread for this weekend I thought that we would see some severe weather this weekend but no tropical storm activity as it was too early but there you go. The next interesting question is if there is this storm, albeit only a TD to this point, will this as the low impedence location take away any chance of severe weather in the CONUS? Space weather is not remarkable. Solar winds are below 500 km/sec, but not by much and there is no significant xray activity. However a coronal hole is rotating toward the earth and there is some forecasted elevated solar winds for the weekend and before that there will probably be some elevated xray numbers when the severe weather is modeled to come about. Also this is a storm ABOVE the ITCZ and exiting the warm waters of the gulf stream. You can see the on shore lightning around the storm--which brings about electron precip and helps organize the regional clouds and their microphyisics, IMHO: As those clouds move east offshore, they stop being the source of organizing lightning and themselves use the displacement current and don't have the conductive Gulf Stream between them and the TD. This is certain to be a short lived storm, but then the question is does the TD live long enough to affect the severe weather that is coming for the CONUS this weekend?