Posted by Tim_NC on 3/15/2009, 2:57 pm, in reply to "Re: Global ACE lowest level in 30 years."

Remember, weather fluctuates short-term while climate fluctuates long-term. To suggest the climate is changing based on a year or two is like saying the stock market will forever go in the direction it went in the last day or two. And as you've clearly noticed - there's no shortage of such unscientific minds! I think it's fair to say the planet is warming but I don't believe we can say any changes in hurricanes are due to it. Not yet anyway... When you see a Cat 5 strike north of Florida --- then maybe we can say "oh crap." Cheers! Tim in Cape Fear, NC --Previous Message-- : If this story was to indicate cyclone activity : is down despite global warming 2 points come : to mind. : First why is the Atlantic basin so busy the : past 15 years & is cooler water in the : East pac causing the pacific to churn out : less systems. Why have we gone so long : without Elnino? : My second point is that many scientist's : have pointed to stronger hurricanes & : not nessesarily more but the Atlantic is : churning out much stronger hurricanes than : in the past. You see this is Dr Grays : argument about global warming & this ACE : chart will be his proof to continue his : concept that hurricanes will not be stronger : or more plentiful. Yet no one can explain : what is going on in the Atlantic basin.