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Posted by canetrakker on 5/16/2008, 7:30 pm, in reply to "Re: you're so cute canetrakker BUT just remember"
Did you mean the past 2 Mays were wet? They certainly were not dry. In 2006 8.62 inches fell in May & in 07 5.28 fell according to the data I am looking at.
--Previous Message--
: The past two seasons were dry mays with
: no hurricanes,however if we end up with
: 2 inches or less this could factor into
: my city picks for 2008.
:
: --Previous Message--
: His theory (which I have spoken with
: him
: about in detail) is ONLY really.. about
: Cape Verde or Atlantic Storms coming in
: around the periphery of the High..
:
: Not wet, tropical storms and or
: Caribbean storms...
:
: Applies to the BIG Ones.. true... but
: doesn't really apply to all the various
: hurricanes out there..
:
: Big Storms that travel long distances
: around the high...
:
: wnw ... into Florida..
:
: Not storms that form close in or dance
: the tango with troughs and upper level
: lows.
:
:
:
: --Previous Message--
: Is in progress right now down here in
: Miami. So far at the airport only 0.05.
: If is didn't rain for the rest of the
: month it would be the driest May ever.
: This scenario is certainly a
: possibility because there is almost no
: significant rain in the forecast in the
: coming week & beyond it appears.
: The highest chance we got is 20% on
: Sat. We have all heard the connection
: to dry Mays followed by strong
: hurricanes in South Fla made by Jim
: Lushine. Indeed there are statistics to
: back this up.
:
: Lushine first noticed the link between
: dry Mays and increased hurricane
: probabilities in South Florida in 1992,
: the same year Hurricane Andrew, a
: top-of-the-chart Category 5, leveled
: much of south Miami-Dade County. That
: May proved to be the second driest on
: record, producing only 0.9 inches of
: rain.
:
: The driest May, with 0.6 inches of
: rain, Lushine found, came in 1965, the
: year Hurricane Betsy, a major Category
: 3 storm, swamped the upper Keys.
:
: Lushine told the Sun-Sentinel he didn't
: notice the coincidence until Andrew
: struck. Then he started reviewing May
: data, finding the third driest May in
: 1935, when the Labor Day hurricane, the
: strongest on record to hit the United
: States, slammed into the Florida Keys.
:
: Plotting 75 years worth of May rainfall
: data, Lushine found the probability of
: a hurricane striking South Florida
: almost tripled after a very dry May.
: Conversely, the chances of a hurricane
: striking South Florida after a wet May
: were three times less.
:
: There have also been many years with
: dry Mays where no hurricane struck
: South Fla. There have also been years
: with a "wet" May where
: hurricanes have hit..2005 is a perfect
: example,7.47 inches fell that May &
: 2 hurricanes hit that year. 2005 was an
: anomaly though wasn't it? In any case
: its just another interesting thing to
: keep a eye on down here through the
: remainder of this month and as the
: season evolves.
:
:
:
:
:
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