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Posted by Ray
on 6/12/2012, 5:36 am, in reply to "Wednesday Flying"
74.67.144.48
Not sure Mark if I would use the word "exceptional", if that means diamond. If "good but not great" (CZ) means gold...could buy that. In "Aviation Weather" speak: some modest cold advection coming in today and tomorrow in the aftermath of the cold front. Modest, not strong, meaning modest thermal strength, and depending further on how much rain we get today. Cloud base also modest, < 6,000, maybe < 5,000. We have nearly full vegetation cover, the most prevalent crop hereabouts, corn, nearly filling the rows now. Slight chance of AM cloudiness due to an upper level (500 mb) disturbance (vort max) rapidly swinging by, mostly to our north. So: cumuli will probably form early...and be initially deceptive (read "sucker cu", weak lift underneath). If you can't stay up locally, no sense jetting off. Cloud base will rise and thermals will improve...maybe by noon...by which time you should already be airborne and sampling the conditions, if you are interested in a gold task...which is potentially doable. And, although we are in for at least five or six totally VFR, generally sunny days, today is the pick XC day. After which the mixing layer will get increasingly polluted, as we sit underneath the axis of a strong high.
Comment: last Thursday I asked "Let me know how you guys make out today". Zilch response, no emails either. Without feedback, and without me flying, it's impossible to meaningfully judge one's forecast ("verification" ). I don't need a verbose, detailed, technical report. A few lines, how high, how far, how long, etc. Without input from the "audience", these notes are going to shrivel and dry up just like the decrepit old body of the "resident meteorological master".
--Previous Message--
: This is short notice, but Wednesday is looking
: like soaring conditions may be exceptional.
: But as usual I must confer to the advice of
: the resident meteorological master. What do
: you think Ray, in mortal speak.
:
:
: Anyone what to fly? Gold distance perhaps?
:
: Mark VNE
:
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