
Posted by Ray
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on 6/6/2012, 1:16 pm, in reply to "Re: Diffluent but not divergent"
74.67.144.48
Mark....don't you mean, please come up
--Previous Message--
: I agree Ray, we are mortals. Please come down
: to us.....
:
: --Previous Message--
: Ok, I could spend an hour looking it up and
: still not understand, or I could "ask
: Ray".(TM)
: JR
:
: --Previous Message--
: Mark...very good chance you have nailed it,
: we
: shall see shortly. BTW, last Sunday I used
: the word "crummy" to characterize
: mid-week flying...not a good choice.
: "Iffy" would have been more
: accurate, IF you were willing to dodge the
: occasional shower, or were able to work
: around big patches of overdevelopment. There
: have been respectable cumulus fields in
: between, all embedded in the monster low
: that's reluctant to go. Yesterday's sounding
: was textbook adiabatic, although only up to
: 850 mb. So fine for local work, sorry if
: anyone was misled.
:
: And of course as that low slowly leaves,
: conditions will slowly improve. Friday
: definitely the sunniest day all week...but
: with the puny ridge comes weak warm
: advection, so the lapse rate could be
: inferior to what we have right now. If so
: obviously not a diamond day...although could
: be gold if you can work modest thermals long
: enough (like ~ 6 hours). Saturday...could
: also be good, although an incoming short
: wave will certainly complicate things.
: Example: the 84 hr NAM (for 1200 UTC Sat)
: has an obviously diffluent but not
: necessarily divergent* flow pattern at 850
: mb, roughly the top of the PBL, and if that
: verifies it would mean likely
: overdevelopment, maybe showers to our east.
: Too early to tell, stay tuned.
:
: *
:
:
: http://www.theweatherprediction.com/advanced/habyextra6/
:
:
: --Previous Message--
: What do you think Ray? The indicators that
: I
: pay attention to are pointing to Friday, and
: with any luck, Saturday.
:
: Mark
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