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Posted by Ray
on 5/28/2012, 5:42 am, in reply to "Sunday AM Update"
74.65.47.166
Sunnier than yesterday, although models do forecast some altocumulus and cirrus during the afternoon for the southern tier. Sounding isn't too bad...should get thermals especially off the ridge by 1 or 2, and the ridge itself should start working. Should definitely be better than yesterday. Typical summertime temperatures....another picnic to end the weekend?
And Thank You to those who have served.
--Previous Message--
: First, yesterday. The good news is that all
: had a fun day with lots of flights (40)
: followed by a great picnic. Didn't do a head
: count, but = or > # of Valley People as
: FLSC...all pitching in and working hard. The
: bad news is that that new Rapid Refresh
: model (let's call it RRM for now) verified
: amazingly well. Yesterday, it forecast
: Altocumulus crud alternately forming and
: dissipating all day, and it was spot on, as
: opposed to the NAM (North American
: Mesoscale) model, which had clear all day.
: Resulting in stifled thermals...some of the
: best pilots working to get a half hour. But
: if you worked really hard ...well CZ got
: two hours, and could have gotten > 3 if
: he'd launched earlier. I owe him a Coke.
:
: That RRM output was excellent yesterday, and
: I'm going by it today even if it was a
: fluke. Meaning almost no chance of rain or
: electrons. Approaching warm front: energy
: starved. But...like yesterday, mid-level
: crud will dim sun, and result in similar
: soaring conditions. If you want synoptic
: details, NWS Buffalo's morning discussion is
: excellent:
:
:
: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/displayprod.php?product=BUFAFDBUF&versions=10
:
:
:
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