Yesterday...iffy. Today...sure. Godzilla leaves when he feels like it, and finally, after raising hell* all over the NEUS, has edged out of our way just enough. All of yesterdays model output had us overcast for today, still under the influence of enough synoptic-scale ascent from the monster. We know what a difference a day makes, so:
Today: excellent overnight sounding and latest models portend a good soaring day. Initially modest lift and cloud base should both increase during the day, since the soggy ground will be drying robustly. Could still be patches of overdevelopment, watch out if you get too far out. What's too far? Perhaps Painted Post.
Tomorrow: good winch day.
Friday: could be better than today.
Saturday: earlier models had a swath of precip over the southern tier. Now it's progged to be further south, in PA. Who knows...maybe tomorrow's models will flip-flop it back over us.
*It's heaven for telemark skiers in Ellicottville!