Re: Wanna Change Your Mind?
Posted by Ray on 4/12/2012, 6:43 am, in reply to "Wanna Change Your Mind?"
....and besides, Alex needs an excuse to skip school today. |
: 'Cause that's what the models just did, for
: at least the third time ...wrt clearing
: today. The edge of the crud (low level
: moisture, cloud deck) from the departing low
: is right over Chuck's house as I type this
: at 6:50. What the models predicted on
: Tuedsay, why I posted that Thursday
: morning's clouds "will erode
: quickly" then. There will be afternoon
: clouds of course, over the southern
: tier...fair weather cu, that's what we want!
: How high? Can't wait for this morning's
: sounding in ~ 2 hours, but...last night's
: sounding is good enough...adiabatic up to ~
: 7 K, save for a bump at 900 mb, reflecting
: the low and leakey cu we had last night. So
: yes, a great soaring day indeed! Very
: slight chance of some overdeveloped patches,
: but I doubt that, given that yesterday's
: system dropped squat precip, and the ground
: is very dry (just look into the Letchworth
: gorge and see where the river is...note also
: fire warnings for NYS). Not too late to
: switch dates or...
: Better yet, fly both days! Especially
: since the weekend kinda sucks, especially
: Sunday (more on that tomorrow). The models
: have had Friday sunny all along, but...one
: potential problem I hadn't mentioned yet was
: the possibility of us getting on the
: backside of the little bubble high
: responsible for all that sun, 'cause that is
: a thermal killer for sure. Not gonna happen!
: Surface and aloft flow not backing to the
: south till after we are done flying, ridge
: axis stays over us. Second great soaring day
: in a row! Can we afford to waste either one?