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Posted by Ray
on 4/10/2012, 7:15 am
74.65.47.166
March, when we weren't ready, was most courteous. So far in April, Mother Nature has been getting even. Although, anyone looking at the sky yesterday, which featured 7 - 8 K cloud bases and enough wind to mount a challenge to Kai's NY state distance record...if you could have gotten launched early enough to be safe...knows things are improving.
WARNING: from time to time, and especially when unusually interesting scenarios are developing, these discussions may get a bit technical. If terms like "entropy" and "quasi-geostrophic flow" are not your cup of tea, save yourself both time and an unhealthy increase in blood pressure by just skipping it, no one's forcing you to read it. There are some in the club interested in learning more than what is provided by Aviation Weather or Flight Service...and those are the target of such discussions.
For a healthy increase in blood pressure, as in happy excitement, Nature provides that later this week. After the next little nasty during mid week (snow?), the latter part is looking great. Thursday is definitely the stronger XC distance day, in honor of Alex's birthday. There may be morning clouds from residual moisture, especially over Rochester downstream from warm (for this time of year) Lake Ontario...but they will erode quickly. If you wait for the sun before going to the airport, you'll miss your chance for Gold distance, or even Diamond if it weren't for the airspace strictures in place on the Delmarva since 911.
Friday is going to be another winner...no morning overcast to worry about...and the better day for triangles and other tasks ending at DSV. How high cloud base? You need to check the morning sounding.
By the weekend, the models diverge significantly and disturbingly. Stay tuned.
So there, I avoided any "big words"!
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