
Posted by Ray
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on 10/9/2009, 6:31 am
69.205.81.50
Yesterday Jake soloed on his 14th birthday! Unfortunately I along with brother CZ missed it, as we were floating about in our glass slippers, struggling with thermals weakened by the accursed and thickening cirrostratus the forecaster underestimated. Thanks to Jari, Rick K, Chuck T, and others for making it possible. I understand the much-deserved inundation was performed by fellow junior Alex. Now that Jake is old enough to both fly solo and date girls, he will ultimately find the latter to be more exciting...and dangerous.
If you wake up Saturday morning and it looks sh###y, don't go back to bed. The front is lingering, because the steering winds at 700,500, & 300mb are all nearly parallel to it. Or to use fancy talk, the component of the jet stream perpendicular to the long axis of the surface front is minimal. Anyway, by the afternoon the sky will clear in time for a nice soaring day, followed by our Octoberfest (did you call Rick L for a reservation?). Sunday will be very interesting. VFR all day with a dry cold front passing through in the middle of it, which means: (1) cold advection plus dry ground (tonight's system will drop < 0.5" rain) makes for real thermals (2) brisk, heads-up west wind means ridge working, plus thermal triggering from it, and (3) winds aloft, as the front comes through, could pop a wave (wear wool socks). What about Columbus day? We should fly! Models earlier this week couldn't agree at all, but now they have converged on a nice-day solution. Maybe even a moderate task day, such as silver distance or duration.
Prudence....priceless.
Ray
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