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Posted by observer on 8/8/2009, 12:03 am, in reply to "Fly Friday? Fickle Weekend"
67.247.189.158
Its going to be a great weekend for students to learn to fly. The sun will shine, winds are SUPPOSED to be WSW and remember last saturday, when it was supposed to be so lousy? It ws ok and a front came through just in time for John Coburn to cllimb into the '21 for the ride of his life! Thats why weather changes so much, so we all can have some excitement, society and Fun!
--Previous Message--
: The soaring weather has been improving all
: week long. Yesterday had fine
: conditions....beautiful, solid, flat and
: dark bottomed cumuli, were all over the sky,
: including the city of Rochester. Lake
: "shadow", a primarily springtime
: problem, is not so much now. Although we are
: nearly seven weeks past the summer solstice,
: Lake Erie is at it's warmest
:
:
: http://www.wbuf.noaa.gov/laketemps/TOTAL.htm
:
: and Lake Ontario, being deeper, is still
: warming up. Cross country pilots needn't
: restrict their scenic or task ventures to
: the south of Dansville...now is a great time
: to enjoy the Finger Lakes region. Today may
: well turn out to be the best of the week. As
: long as the ridge axis is not east of us,
: there isn't any appreciable warm advection,
: which stabilizes the PBL. Each passing day,
: the ground is drier, the PBL deepens due to
: continued convective stirring, and thus the
: cloud base rises.
:
: The ridge axis passes by us on Saturday, and
: things go downhill for the weekend, although
: not drastically so. "The System"
: (AKA local Rossby Wave) has slowed down, and
: Saturday won't be as bad as earlier progs
: indicated. Certainly both flyable and
: soarable, how good determined by a race
: between increasing sun angle during the day
: (good) and increasing upper level clouds
: (bad). Things do go more down hill on
: Sunday, although the models are still
: squeamish and untrustable. Best approach is
: to look out the window Sunday morning. I
: remember once in Albany it was pouring rain,
: whilst a local TV station was still
: "forecasting" 80% chance. My
: synoptic teacher lost it, called the
: station, and said "Could you please
: look out your window? It's RAINING...with a
: probability of 100%!"
:
: Ray
:
:
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