Every horse has a chance of winning. The larger the field the smaller the chance the smaller the field the larger the chance. There are then other factors to consider form of yard and horse, going, distance, rating and the pace of the race. We as punters have to then decide which is the value punt of the race with all the factors and the price the bookies open up with. Not as easy as it sounds. Saying this will win and not be beat to me is just hot air.